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After spending much of the 1990s in the shadow of surging equity markets, commodities began moving to center stage in the early part of this decade, due in large part to the explosive infrastructure growth in China and India. Those countries, along with other developing nations, are placing increased demands on limited supplies of key natural resources such as copper, lead, nickel, zinc, platinum and silver. At the same time, a growing and more affluent middle class, especially in China, is heightening demand for jewelry and consumer electronics, while production of gold, silver and the platinum group metals has remained essentially flat. Additionally, in the wake of the introduction of metals-related exchange traded funds, investment demand for gold and other precious metals has seen a marked increase. Given the fact that gold has tripled in price over the last five years, the big boost in investor demand is understandable. Adding to the interest in commodities priced in U.S. dollars is the weaker tone of the greenback, which is down over 29% from its 2002 highs and, given the current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Board, looks to be headed lower. Overall, commodity markets, especially the metals, are attracting considerable investor interest and look to be poised to produce substantial gains in the months and years ahead.
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- COPPER
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